Why Saudi Investment Hasn't Transformed Newcastle into Title Contenders

Eddie Howe is not prone to dramatics or grand public pronouncements. So by his standards, his media briefing following the weekend's loss to West Ham counts as a angry outburst. His side took an early lead but the opposition were ahead by half-time, as well as hitting the post and having a penalty revoked by VAR, leading Howe to execute a three substitutions at the half-time.

“The opening period was particularly irritating,” Howe said. “I almost could have taken anyone off and I believe that was a reflection of our performance level in that moment during the match and it's extremely uncommon for me to feel that way. Actually, I cannot recall having done so since I’ve been manager of Newcastle, so I felt the squad needed some shaking up at half-time. This explains why I made what I did.”

Anthony Gordon, Nick Woltemade and Emil Krafth all came off at the interval and the team managed to steady to an extent in the latter period, without ever really looking like they might fight back into the contest against a side that had won only one of their last nine fixtures. Given how packed the middle of the standings is, with just three points separating third from 11th, and a nine-point margin between the upper and lower ranks, a sequence of 12 points from ten matches has not left the Magpies stranded but, similarly, they must not finish the season in 13th.

The Problem of Perception

The challenge to an extent is one of perception. With the Saudi PIF, Newcastle have the richest owners in the world. The expectation at the time the PIF acquired 80% of the team in 2021 was that it would have a transformative effect, as Roman Abramovich had at Chelsea or Sheikh Mansour had at Manchester City. The distinction is that both of those owners assumed control prior to the introduction of FFP regulations (while the ongoing allegations against City relate to whether they breached those guidelines once they were implemented).

Financial restrictions limit the capacity of proprietors, no matter how wealthy, to spend money on their squads and so in that sense likely might have slowed any Middle Eastern effort to raise the team to the standard of Manchester City. However there is no need for the club's expenditure to have been quite as cautious as it has been; they might have spent more and stayed inside the threshold – or simply taken a fairly minor Uefa penalty given their major issue is primarily with the continental than the domestic regulation.

Infrastructure Spending and PSR Rules

Additionally, stadium development is exempted from PSR calculations; the simplest method to raise income to generate additional financial headroom would be to expand or renovate the stadium. Given the location of St James’ Park, with listed buildings on multiple sides, in reality that probably means building an entirely new stadium. There was talk in spring of potentially undertaking the nearby relocation to Leazes Park – opposition from community organizations might have been surmounted with a commitment to create a new park on the existing stadium site – but there has not been no movement on that plan. There has been significant cutbacks from the PIF on a range of initiatives as it shifts focus on local investments; the attitude to Newcastle seems completely in keeping with that change of approach.

Player Sales Saga

The Alexander Isak saga was born of that conflict. A bolder leadership could have portrayed his transfer as necessary to free up capital for further investment; rather there was a vain effort to keep him. That meant the team began the season amidst a feeling of frustration even with the acquisitions of several new players. The opening was mixed: a single victory in their initial six fixtures.

But it appeared a turning point was reached. They had won five in six before the weekend, a run that featured demolitions of a Belgian side and a Portuguese club in the European competition. That’s why the display against West Ham was such a shock. The problem maybe is that the team's style is extremely intense, very high-octane; a minor decrease in energy can have significant consequences. Perhaps the strain of Premier League, European and Carabao Cup competition, five games in 15 days, had got to them. Woltemade started all five games and looked especially weary.

Reality of Contemporary Soccer

This is the nature of modern the sport. Managers have to be prepared to rotate. The manager has been unfortunate that the forward's fitness issue has left him short of attacking options but, regardless of how reasonable the reasons, the weekend's showing was inexcusable –especially following taking the lead at a ground primed to criticize its own side.

The Newcastle boss will hope it was merely a temporary setback, one of those days when everybody is below par simultaneously, but if the Magpies are to qualify for the European competition in the future, not to mention one day launch an genuine title challenge, they must not be as unreliable as they have been.

Tanya Bray
Tanya Bray

Elara is an astrophysicist and science writer with a passion for unraveling the mysteries of the cosmos and sharing them with the world.